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Lessons learnedExperience excerpt · English

The computers are coming for jobs ever up the white collar scale

The computers are coming for jobs ever up the white collar scale. When I started working there were (barely) still secretaries who typed and filed things for their bosses, and quite a few geeks had jobs that involved assembly language programming. AI will take jobs. Super frustratingly, it'll probably make call centers even more useless (has anyone ever gotten anything useful out of one of those ("Hi, I'm ____. Can I help you?" popups at the bottom right of web sites?) And it'll certainly automate some of the "copy/paste" type programming jobs at the lower end of the scale, the same way email automated a lot of secretarial jobs; i.e. 10 fulltime copy/paste programming type jobs may become a job for one human and an AI assistant. Which leaves people who are really passionate about and good at their craft. Somewhat relatedly, I saw about an uptick of people going into the trades. AI won't take plumber or electrician jobs away in the foreseeable future.

Original discussionJohn Carmack: From a DM, just in case anyone else needs to hear this806 source comments · at import
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AC

I see the plumber/electrician thing a lot. But talking to my friends who do these jobs it always seems like it would be even more vulnerable to AI than programming. Experienced electricians get paid decent wages because they have had lots of training and then have seen loads of different problems. So they intuitively know things like 'This is a 1960s house so if there's a problem with the lighting the first thing I should check is the fuse box connector, it should look like xyz, etc. Etc.'. This seems like exactly the sort of thing an LLM could do for them. I think you could easily see a world where an electrician is someone on minimum wage with very minimal training who blindly connects wires as instructed by an AI. I reckon the safest jobs are ones with limited reliance on knowledge and a very high level of physical skill (in environments where it's hard to get machines to operate). Br…

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RO

I think we've already seen the dividing line drawn between people who can ultimately be replaced by a computer (or at least, those whom top-tier management believe can be replaced by a computer) and people who won't: Work from Home.

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DR

> AI won't take plumber or electrician jobs away in the foreseeable future. I see this argument way too often. How many electricians and plumbers does the world really need? And if the market becomes over saturated, how much will those jobs pay? How often will you actually have a job to do?

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